Jam Madison
W-L: (26- 9) PR = 95.6463Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 80-48 1106 H George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 57-72 1109 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 87-38 1112 A Liberty CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 74-61 1116 H Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 73-84 1119 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 56-95 1123 A Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 65-56 1128 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 73-53 1129 A Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 69-50 1203 A Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 83-66 1207 A VCU A10 ( 8-24, 93.5) 81-63 1214 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 65-78 1217 A Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 71-68 1220 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 74-83 101 A Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 84-64 103 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 87-52 107 H Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 70-78 110 H Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 70-72 115 A Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 80-43 117 A Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 67-60 122 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 72-68 125 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 67-74 129 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 96-45 131 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 88-52 204 A So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 83-72 208 A Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 71-57 211 A App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 60-53 214 A Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 87-53 221 A App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 74-48 225 A Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 77-55 227 A Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 72-56 307 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 79-54 308 A Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 81-53 309 A Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 69-52 321 H Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 56-71
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Kent State 80-48 32 2 0.34
1106 H George Mason 57-72 -15 0 - -2.05
1109 A Queens Univ 87-38 49 4 0.00
1112 A Liberty 74-61 13 1 0.60
1116 H Villanova 73-84 -11 -1 -1.35
1119 H Texas 56-95 -39 -3 0.00
1123 A Va Tech 65-56 9 -1 + 2.64
1128 A Boston Col 73-53 20 3 0.00
1129 A Wisconsin 69-50 19 0 1.94
1203 A Ea Carolina 83-66 17 1 1.03
1207 A VCU 81-63 18 2 0.00
1214 H Notre Dame 65-78 -13 -1 -0.55
1217 A Coastal Car 71-68 3 2 0.00
1220 H Marshall 74-83 -9 1 - -2.56
101 A Georgia St 84-64 20 2 0.00
103 A TX St-SM 87-52 35 3 0.00
107 H Georgia So 70-78 -8 0 - -2.40
110 H Georgia St 70-72 -2 2 -- -4.00
115 A Marshall 80-43 37 1 1.46
117 A Georgia So 67-60 7 0 1.62
122 A LA-Monroe 72-68 4 2 0.34
125 H Arkansas St 67-74 -7 1 - -2.73
129 A Louisiana 96-45 51 3 0.00
131 A So Alabama 88-52 36 2 0.05
204 A So Miss 83-72 11 2 0.12
208 A Mass 71-57 14 1 1.20
211 A App State 60-53 7 2 0.00
214 A Old Dominion 87-53 34 1 0.85
221 A App State 74-48 26 2 0.00
225 A Old Dominion 77-55 22 1 0.85
227 A Coastal Car 72-56 16 2 0.00
307 A So Alabama 79-54 25 2 0.05
308 A Georgia So 81-53 28 0 1.62
309 A Troy 69-52 17 0 1.74
321 H Kentucky 56-71 -15 -2 -0.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H Georgia St 70-72 -2 2 -- -4.00 1106 H George Mason 57-72 -15 0 - -2.05 1220 H Marshall 74-83 -9 1 - -2.56 107 H Georgia So 70-78 -8 0 - -2.40 125 H Arkansas St 67-74 -7 1 - -2.73 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1123 A Va Tech 65-56 9 -1 + 2.64 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 80-48 -5.93 5.03 0.01 0.87 8.75
3 H George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 57-72 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 0.87 -1.87
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 87-38 -8.02 2.94 0.01 0.87 5.12
3 A Liberty (16-13, 94.2) 74-61 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.87 9.21
3 H Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 73-84 -3.60 7.36 -0.01 0.87 -1.56
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 56-95 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.87 -0.35
3 A Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 65-56 -3.62 7.34 0.01 0.87 12.74
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 73-53 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.87 6.85
3 A Wisconsin (16-17, 95.6) 69-50 -4.32 6.64 0.01 0.87 11.53
3 A Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 83-66 -5.23 5.73 0.01 0.87 9.95
3 A VCU ( 8-24, 93.5) 81-63 -6.40 4.56 0.01 0.87 7.92
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 65-78 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 0.87 -1.22
3 A Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 71-68 -6.33 4.63 0.01 0.87 8.04
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 74-83 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.87 -2.08
3 A Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 84-64 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.87 7.40
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 87-52 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.87 6.99
3 H Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 70-78 -4.64 6.32 -0.01 0.87 -2.02
3 H Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 70-72 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 0.87 -2.91
3 A Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 80-43 -4.80 6.16 0.01 0.87 10.70
3 A Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 67-60 -4.64 6.32 0.01 0.87 10.97
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 72-68 -5.92 5.04 0.01 0.87 8.75
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 67-74 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 0.87 -2.16
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 96-45 -7.72 3.24 0.01 0.87 5.64
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 88-52 -6.22 4.74 0.01 0.87 8.24
3 A So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 83-72 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.87 8.37
3 A Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 71-57 -5.06 5.90 0.01 0.87 10.25
3 A App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 60-53 -6.65 4.31 0.01 0.87 7.50
3 A Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 87-53 -5.42 5.54 0.01 0.87 9.63
3 A App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 74-48 -6.65 4.31 0.01 0.87 7.50
3 A Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 77-55 -5.42 5.54 0.01 0.87 9.63
3 A Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 72-56 -6.33 4.63 0.01 0.87 8.04
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 79-54 -6.22 4.74 0.01 0.87 8.24
3 A Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 81-53 -4.64 6.32 0.01 0.87 10.97
3 A Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 69-52 -4.52 6.44 0.01 0.87 11.19
3 H Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 56-71 -2.61 8.36 -0.01 0.87 -1.13
------
214.83
|
winning pts = 230.1373 losing points = -15.3078
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------